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Grigor Dimitrov vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Dimitrov vs Carreno-Busta analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Grigor Dimitrov vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Dimitrov 5 - 3 Carreno-Busta

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Dimitrov has won 54.21% of points on their second serve, while Carreno-Busta has won 38.16%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Dimitrov, in recent form, has won 50.26% of their opponent's second serve points, while Carreno-Busta has won 48.53%. The same stats for first serve returns are 28.62% and 30.51% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Dimitrov has saved 67.07% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Carreno-Busta has saved 56.67% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Dimitrov has won 73.24% of matches played (W/L 52/ 19), with Carreno-Busta winning 20% (W/L 1/ 4) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Dimitrov has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 64% (W/L 116/ 66), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 59% (W/L 48/ 34). Carreno-Busta has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 339/ 170), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 32% (W/L 6/ 13).
  • Player level: In the last year, Dimitrov has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 75% of matches (W/L 21/ 7), where as Carreno-Busta has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 25% of matches (W/L 1/ 3). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 8 times before with Dimitrov winning 5 times and Carreno-Busta being victorious 3 times. They have played 17 sets in total, with Dimitrov winning 10 and Carreno-Busta winning 7. The last match between Dimitrov and Carreno-Busta was at the Australian Open - Melbourne, 12-02-2021, Third, Hard with Grigor Dimitrov getting the victory 6-0 1-0 ret..
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:11:40.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Dimitrov and Carreno-Busta have played a deciding set 0 times, with Dimitrov winning 0 times and Carreno-Busta 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 2 tiebreaks against each other with Dimitrov winning 0, and Carreno-Busta 2.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Dimitrov has played against opponents with an average rank of 105.61 while Carreno-Busta has played against players with an average rank of 470.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Dimitrov has won 72% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Carreno-Busta has won 100% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Dimitrov has converted 34.19% of breakpoint opportunities, and Carreno-Busta has converted 33.33% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
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Grigor Dimitrov

19

Total

1

Mast

4

Chall

0

Slam

7

Main

6

Minor

10

Rank

3

High

33

Age

R

Plays

5

Total

3

1

Hard

0

2

Clay

3

2

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

876

Rank

10

High

32

Age

R

Plays

Pablo Carreno-Busta

30

Total

1

Mast

11

Chall

0

Slam

6

Main

12

Minor

5

Total

3

1

Hard

0

2

Clay

3

2

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

L L W W L W W W W L

Form

L L W L L L W L L L

62% (575-350)

Career Total W/L

64% (560-317)

76% (28-9)

YTD W/L

0% (0-2)

$17,954,275

Career Prize Money

$9,946,935

1

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Dimitrov VS Carreno-Busta H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Grigor Dimitrov Pablo Carreno-Busta
All H2H Matches 5 3
Sets Won 10 7
Games Won 85 63
Aces (Total) 37 7
DFs (Total) 15 11
Avg Match Time 1:11:40 1:11:40
1st Serve % 60% (241/400) 66% (282/427)
1st Serve Win% 73% (177/241) 63% (177/282)
2nd Serve Win% 48% (77/159) 48% (70/145)
BPs Won% (Total) 45% (22/49) 39% (12/31)
Return Points W% 42% (180/427) 37% (146/400)
Best of 3 Sets W% 71% (5/7) 29% (2/7)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/2) 100% (2/2)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (5/5) 100% (3/3)
1st set W, L 0% (5/0) 0% (3/0)
1st set L, W 0% (3/0) 0% (5/0)

Dimitrov VS Carreno-Busta H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-0 1-0 ret.
cross
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
56% ( 10 of 18)
1st Serve %
80% ( 24 of 30)
3
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
0
90% ( 9 of 10)
1st Serve Won
38% ( 9 of 24)
50% ( 4 of 8)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
28% ( 5 of 18)
Rtn Points Won
63% ( 19 of 30)
32
Total Points Won
16
6-3 7-6(4)
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
67% ( 46 of 69)
1st Serve %
59% ( 38 of 64)
0
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
4
65% ( 30 of 46)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 27 of 38)
61% ( 14 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 11 of 26)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
36% ( 25 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 26 of 64)
70
Total Points Won
63
6-1 6-1
cross
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
56% ( 20 of 36)
1st Serve %
71% ( 34 of 48)
3
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
2
95% ( 19 of 20)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 16 of 34)
56% ( 9 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 4 of 14)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
22% ( 8 of 36)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 28 of 48)
56
Total Points Won
28
7-5 6-3 6-4
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
64% ( 62 of 97)
1st Serve %
53% ( 55 of 103)
0
Aces
14
3
Double Faults
5
69% ( 43 of 62)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 38 of 55)
60% ( 21 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 21 of 48)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
34% ( 33 of 97)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 44 of 103)
108
Total Points Won
92
7-6(3) 6-3
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
63% ( 48 of 76)
1st Serve %
72% ( 57 of 79)
5
Aces
6
4
Double Faults
2
83% ( 40 of 48)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 36 of 57)
43% ( 12 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 12 of 22)
22% ( 2 of 9)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
32% ( 24 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 31 of 79)
83
Total Points Won
72
6-4 6-1
cross
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
61% ( 30 of 49)
1st Serve %
67% ( 36 of 54)
6
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
0
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 20 of 36)
47% ( 9 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 8 of 18)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
33% ( 16 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 26 of 54)
59
Total Points Won
44
6-2 6-4
cross
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
61% ( 31 of 51)
1st Serve %
60% ( 32 of 53)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
2
77% ( 24 of 31)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 19 of 32)
55% ( 11 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 9 of 21)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
31% ( 16 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 25 of 53)
60
Total Points Won
44
6-4 6-1

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Grigor Dimitrov Pablo Carreno-Busta
YTD W/L 76% (28/9) 0% (0/2)
Sets Win/Loss 69% (66/29) 17% (1/5)
Games Win/Loss 55% (528/432) 37% (21/36)
Hard Win/Loss 82% (14/3) 0% (0/0)
Clay Win/Loss 67% (8/4) 0% (0/2)
Indoor Hard W/L 75% (6/2) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.6 0.07
Aces Total 285 2
DFs per game 0.24 0.25
DFs Total 112 7
Avg Match Time 2:3:32 2:27:22
Avg Opp Rank 135.38 676
1st Serve % 63% (1797/2841) 63% (128/204)
1st Serve W% 79% (1426/1797) 60% (77/128)
2nd Serve W% 54% (566/1044) 38% (29/76)
BPs Won% Total 34% (93/272) 33% (6/18)
Return Pts W% 37% (1141/3110) 37% (69/186)
Slam W/L 75% (6/2) 0% (0/1)
Masters W/L 69% (11/5) 0% (0/0)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 85% (11/2) 0% (0/0)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 76% (22/29) 0% (0/1)
Best of 5 Sets W% 75% (6/8) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 70% (16/23) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set W% 67% (6/9) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 96% (24/23) 0% (1/0)
1st set W, L 4% (24/1) 100% (1/1)
1st set L, W 38% (13/5) 0% (1/0)

Grigor Dimitrov Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
QF
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
60% ( 53 of 89)
1st Serve %
63% ( 67 of 106)
8
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
5
81% ( 43 of 53)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 45 of 67)
64% ( 23 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 17 of 39)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
26% ( 23 of 89)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 44 of 106)
110
Total Points Won
85
L
6-2 6-4 7-6(3) H2H
R4
cross
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Hubert Hurkacz
62% ( 71 of 114)
1st Serve %
64% ( 77 of 120)
4
Aces
20
4
Double Faults
1
77% ( 55 of 71)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 56 of 77)
60% ( 26 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 21 of 43)
25% ( 2 of 8)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
29% ( 33 of 114)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 43 of 120)
124
Total Points Won
110
W
7-6(5) 6-4 7-6(3) H2H
R3
cross
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Zizou Bergs
63% ( 85 of 136)
1st Serve %
65% ( 83 of 128)
4
Aces
7
6
Double Faults
3
75% ( 64 of 85)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 56 of 83)
45% ( 23 of 51)
2nd Serve Won
51% ( 23 of 45)
43% ( 6 of 14)
Break Points Won
31% ( 5 of 16)
36% ( 49 of 136)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 49 of 128)
136
Total Points Won
128
W
6-3 7-6(4) 4-6 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Fabian Marozsan
54% ( 38 of 71)
1st Serve %
63% ( 43 of 68)
7
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
3
89% ( 34 of 38)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 26 of 43)
52% ( 17 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 9 of 25)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
28% ( 20 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 33 of 68)
84
Total Points Won
55
W
6-0 6-3 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Aleksandar Kovacevic
60% ( 46 of 77)
1st Serve %
54% ( 45 of 83)
8
Aces
8
2
Double Faults
3
83% ( 38 of 46)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 33 of 45)
55% ( 17 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 16 of 38)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
29% ( 22 of 77)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 34 of 83)
89
Total Points Won
71
W
6-4 6-3 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Taylor Fritz
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
63% ( 66 of 104)
1st Serve %
48% ( 46 of 96)
13
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
11
76% ( 50 of 66)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 33 of 46)
66% ( 25 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 25 of 50)
25% ( 4 of 16)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 11)
28% ( 29 of 104)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 38 of 96)
113
Total Points Won
87
L
6-2 6-7(11) 6-1 H2H
R3
cross
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Terence Atmane
58% ( 38 of 66)
1st Serve %
56% ( 40 of 71)
5
Aces
6
5
Double Faults
5
79% ( 30 of 38)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 29 of 40)
61% ( 17 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 14 of 31)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
29% ( 19 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 28 of 71)
75
Total Points Won
62
W
7-6(3) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Yoshihito Nishioka
47% ( 25 of 53)
1st Serve %
54% ( 36 of 67)
11
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
92% ( 23 of 25)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 25 of 36)
75% ( 21 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 18 of 31)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
17% ( 9 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 24 of 67)
68
Total Points Won
52
W
7-5 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Jakub Mensik
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
59% ( 74 of 126)
1st Serve %
68% ( 59 of 87)
16
Aces
7
5
Double Faults
5
69% ( 51 of 74)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 44 of 59)
54% ( 28 of 52)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 12 of 28)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
37% ( 47 of 126)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 31 of 87)
110
Total Points Won
103
L
6-2 6-7(4) 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
70% ( 94 of 135)
1st Serve %
63% ( 74 of 117)
3
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
4
64% ( 60 of 94)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 54 of 74)
54% ( 22 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 20 of 43)
25% ( 1 of 4)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
39% ( 53 of 135)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 43 of 117)
125
Total Points Won
127
L
7-6(9) 3-6 7-6(2) H2H

Pablo Carreno-Busta Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
Q1
cross
Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
55% ( 41 of 75)
1st Serve %
64% ( 49 of 76)
13
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
2
78% ( 32 of 41)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 35 of 49)
53% ( 18 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 13 of 27)
25% ( 2 of 8)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
33% ( 25 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 28 of 76)
78
Total Points Won
73
L
6-4 7-6(4) H2H
R1
cross
Mariano Navone
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
69% ( 77 of 111)
1st Serve %
62% ( 79 of 128)
6
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
5
65% ( 50 of 77)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 42 of 79)
50% ( 17 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 16 of 49)
50% ( 11 of 22)
Break Points Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
40% ( 44 of 111)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 70 of 128)
137
Total Points Won
102
L
5-7 6-1 6-3 6-0 H2H
R2
cross
Mattia Bellucci
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
64% ( 45 of 70)
1st Serve %
75% ( 47 of 63)
4
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
76% ( 34 of 45)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 30 of 47)
72% ( 18 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
63% ( 10 of 16)
50% ( 1 of 2)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
26% ( 18 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 23 of 63)
75
Total Points Won
58
L
6-3 7-6(0) H2H
R1
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Arthur Cazaux
70% ( 74 of 105)
1st Serve %
60% ( 44 of 73)
2
Aces
12
5
Double Faults
1
68% ( 50 of 74)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 34 of 44)
32% ( 10 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 12 of 29)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
43% ( 45 of 105)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 27 of 73)
87
Total Points Won
91
W
2-6 6-4 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Pedro Martinez Portero
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
69% ( 64 of 93)
1st Serve %
70% ( 43 of 61)
3
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
1
75% ( 48 of 64)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 31 of 43)
48% ( 14 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 13)
33% ( 31 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 21 of 61)
83
Total Points Won
71
L
6-3 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Richard Gasquet
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
58% ( 49 of 84)
1st Serve %
62% ( 62 of 100)
13
Aces
10
2
Double Faults
5
73% ( 36 of 49)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 43 of 62)
49% ( 17 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 18 of 38)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
37% ( 31 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 39 of 100)
92
Total Points Won
92
L
2-6 7-6(2) 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Benjamin Bonzi
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
66% ( 117 of 176)
1st Serve %
65% ( 122 of 187)
15
Aces
12
2
Double Faults
2
76% ( 89 of 117)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 87 of 122)
56% ( 33 of 59)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 34 of 65)
19% ( 4 of 21)
Break Points Won
17% ( 3 of 18)
31% ( 54 of 176)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 66 of 187)
188
Total Points Won
175
L
4-6 4-6 7-6(5) 6-1 7-6(4) H2H
R1
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Pedro Cachin
63% ( 59 of 93)
1st Serve %
61% ( 59 of 97)
15
Aces
12
3
Double Faults
1
90% ( 53 of 59)
1st Serve Won
81% ( 48 of 59)
65% ( 22 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 18 of 38)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
19% ( 18 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 31 of 97)
106
Total Points Won
84
W
7-6(4) 6-1 7-6(3) H2H
R2
cross
Soon-Woo Kwon
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
65% ( 57 of 88)
1st Serve %
61% ( 65 of 107)
11
Aces
10
3
Double Faults
6
77% ( 44 of 57)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 44 of 65)
52% ( 16 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 22 of 42)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
32% ( 28 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 41 of 107)
101
Total Points Won
94
L
3-6 6-4 6-4 H2H
Rubber 2
L
5-7 6-3 7-6(5) H2H

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